| 引用本文: | 赵书强,索璕,马燕峰.高比例可再生能源的多点容量规划方法[J].电力自动化设备,2020,40(5): |
| ZHAO Shuqiang,SUO Xun,MA Yanfeng.Multi-point capacity planning method for high proportion of renewable energy[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2020,40(5): |
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| 摘要: |
| 针对多能源多点布局规划问题，综合分析了由风力发电、光伏发电、水力发电和传统火电组成的多能源电力系统的技术经济特性，提出一种基于复杂适应系统理论的电源规划模型。该模型以各个电源节点为主体，通过经验的积累不断变化其行为规则，调整各种类型电源的装机容量以适应环境，并求得各个节点下各类电源容量的最优配置方案。同时提出了一种基于简单规则涌现出复杂现象的主体建模方法，揭示了复杂适应系统理论的核心思想：适应性造就复杂性。通过对某地区实际电网的分析，验证了所提方法对于提高新能源的消纳有显著效果，并且基于该地区目前电源容量布局及未来的网架结构给出了未来电源优化配置方案，对实际的工程建设有一定的指导意义。 |
| 关键词: 多能源电力系统 复杂适应系统 主体建模 源网协调 电源规划 |
| DOI：10.16081/j.epae.202005007 |
| 分类号:TM715 |
| 基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFB0902200)；国家电网公司科技项目(5228001700CW) |
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| Multi-point capacity planning method for high proportion of renewable energy |
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ZHAO Shuqiang, SUO Xun, MA Yanfeng
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State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China
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| Abstract: |
| Aiming at the problem of multi-energy and multi-point layout planning, the technical and economic characteristics of multi-energy power system composed of wind power, photovoltaic power, hydroelectric power and traditional thermal power are comprehensively analyzed, and a power planning model based on complex adaptive system theory is proposed. The model takes each power supply node as the main subject, changes its behavior rules constantly through experience accumulation, adjusts the installed capacity of various types of power supply to adapt to the environment, and obtains the optimal layout scheme of each node’s various power supply capacity. In addition, a subject modeling method based on simple rules emerging complex phenomena is proposed, which reveals the core idea of complex adaptive system theory, that is, adaptability creates complexity. Through the analysis of the actual power grid in a certain area, it is verified that the proposed method has a significant effect on improving the consumption of new energy. Based on the current power capacity layout and future grid structure in this area, the future power optimal layout scheme is given, which has a certain guiding significance for the actual engineering construction. |
| Key words: multi-energy power system complex adaptive system subject modeling source-grid coordination generation planning |
