|
| 摘要: |
| 负荷预测是电力网络规划的基础，预测方法的选择是否合理直接影响负荷预测结果以及电网规划水平。因此，对于具有不同特性的供电网络应采用相应的负荷预测方法，以上海市某10kV供电地区的3个典型地块作为配电网中长期负荷预测研究对象，通过详细分析待预测地块的特点选择合适的预测方法，并给出3个地块2001－2006年的负荷预测结果，从而为中压配电网中长期负荷预测工作提供有价值的参考。 |
| 关键词: 中压配电网 长期负荷预测 电力系统 负荷特性 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:TM715 |
| 基金项目: |
|
| Mid-long term power load forecasting of mid-voltage distribution network |
|
LUO Zhi-qiang ZHANG Yan ZHU Jie YIN Gui-ling
|
| Abstract: |
| Power load forecast is the base of power grid planning.The rationality of method selec-tion directly affects the results of the prediction,and then impacts the quality of the power grid planning.Different forecasting methods should be selected for the power grids with different pro-perties.Three typical areas in Shanghai are taken as an example of10kV mid-long term power load forecasting.The properties of the three typical areas are analyzed and the appropriate methods are selected.The forecasting results from2001to2006are given. |
| Key words: mid-long term,distribution network,power load forecast |
