|
| 摘要: |
| 风速预测是风电场规划设计中的重要工作因风速序列本身已经具有时序性和自相关性．提出了基于时间序列分析的风电场风速预测模型。为了检验时间序列分析模型的有效性．使用了信息准则AIC(An Information Criterion)函数在算例中，将预测风速的分布特性与实际风速分布特性相比较，验证了文中提出的时间序列模型用于风电场风速预测的可行性。 |
| 关键词: 时间序列 风速 预测 风电场 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:TM614 |
| 基金项目:教育部科学技术研究项目 |
|
| Wind speed forecast model for wind farms based on time series analysis |
|
DING Ming ZHANG Li-jun WU Yi-chun
|
| Abstract: |
| Wind speed forecast is an important task of wind farms planning.A wind speed forecast model based on time series analysis is presented.AIC(An Information Criterion) function is used to check its validity.The distribution characteristics of the forecasted wind speed are compared with those of measured wind speed in a calculative example,which shows that the proposed time series model is feasible in wind speed forecast for wind farms. |
| Key words: time series,wind speed,forecast,wind farms, |
