| 引用本文: | 朱晓岭,杨静,韩钟宽,王书渊,张宇驰.基于随机动态规划方法的电缆运维最优方案[J].电力自动化设备,2016,36(12): |
| ZHU Xiaoling,YANG Jing,HAN Zhongkuan,WANG Shuyuan,ZHANG Yuchi.Optimal power-cable maintenance scheme based on stochastic dynamic programming[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2016,36(12): |
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| 摘要: |
| 提出了一种基于随机动态规划方法的电力电缆最优更换方案。该方案基于电缆绝缘材料随机老化模型，得出电力电缆的故障概率分布和绝缘老化等级；给出了计划区间内每年的维护决策，从而优化整体成本，降低电缆线路引起的意外停电事故，提高电网运行可靠性。 |
| 关键词: 电力电缆 全寿命周期成本 随机动态规划 绝缘老化 电缆运维管理 |
| DOI：10.16081/j.issn.1006-6047.2016.12.023 |
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| Optimal power-cable maintenance scheme based on stochastic dynamic programming |
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ZHU Xiaoling1, YANG Jing1, HAN Zhongkuan2, WANG Shuyuan1, ZHANG Yuchi3
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1.State Grid Jibei Electric Power Company Limited, Beijing 100053, China;2.State Grid Fujian Changle Electric Power Supply Company Limited, Fujian 350200, China;3.State Grid Jibei Electric Economic Research Institute, Beijing 100045, China
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| Abstract: |
| An optimal power-cable maintenance scheme based on stochastic dynamic programming is proposed, which applies the stochastic aging model of power-cable to obtain its failure rate distribution and insulation aging level. The annual maintenance schedules within the planning period are given for optimizing the overall cost, reducing the unexpected power outages due to power-cable fault and improving the operational reliability of power grid. |
| Key words: power cable life-cycle cost statistical dynamic programming insulation aging cable opera-tion and maintenance management |
