引用本文:曾博,白婧萌,张玉莹,孙恩德.基于价值链分析的电动汽车充电商业运营模式综合评价[J].电力自动化设备,2018,(7):
ZENG Bo,BAI Jingmeng,ZHANG Yuying,SUN Ende.Comprehensive evaluation of commercial operation mode for electric vehicle charging based on value-chain analysis[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2018,(7):
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基于价值链分析的电动汽车充电商业运营模式综合评价
曾博1, 白婧萌1, 张玉莹2, 孙恩德3
1.华北电力大学 新能源电力系统国家重点实验室,北京 102206;2.神华国华(北京)电力研究院有限公司,北京 100025;3.国网青岛供电公司,山东 青岛 266000
摘要:
提出一种电动汽车(EV)充电商业运营模式效益的综合评价模型。基于价值链理论,分析EV充电商业运营项目的内外部价值链和指标体系构建原则,设计了涵盖政府、投资运营商、用户多主体的EV充电商业运营模式效益的综合评价指标体系,重点计及商业运营模式的时效特征和内外部价值链的增值环节。在此基础上,根据指标特点,进一步提出一种实时组合赋权的物元可拓模型,以实现对EV充电商业运营模式综合效益的定量评价。与传统确定性评价不同,所提方法考虑EV充电市场的时效特征及面临的不确定性,引入专家实时打分和熵权法相结合的组合赋权策略,以实现对多元主体主观意愿及评价指标自身信息价值的合理兼顾,使模型在实际应用中具有良好的鲁棒性及判别能力。
关键词:  电动汽车  充电服务  价值链  商业运营模式  综合评价指标体系  物元可拓模型
DOI:10.16081/j.issn.1006-6047.2018.07.003
分类号:U469.72
基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFB0101903);国家自然科学基金资助项目(51507061);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2017MS007)
Comprehensive evaluation of commercial operation mode for electric vehicle charging based on value-chain analysis
ZENG Bo1, BAI Jingmeng1, ZHANG Yuying2, SUN Ende3
1.State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China;2.Shenhua Guohua(Beijing) Electric Power Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100025, China;3.State Grid Qingdao Power Supply Company, Qingdao 266000, China
Abstract:
A comprehensive evaluation model of EV(Electric Vehicle) charging commercial operation benefit is proposed. Based on the theory of value-chain, the internal and external value-chain and the construction principle of index system for EV charging commercial operation project are analyzed. A comprehensive evaluation index system is proposed, which includes the benefit of government, investment operator and user of EV charging commercial operation modes. Special attention is paid on the aging characteristics and the value-added links of internal and external value-chain of the commercial operation modes. On this basis, a real-time combined weighting-matter element extension comprehensive evaluation model is further proposed according to the index characteristics. Consequently, quantitative comprehensive benefit evaluation of EV charging commercial operation modes can be achieved. Different from traditional deterministic evaluation approaches, the proposed method considers the aging characteristics and the uncertainty in EV charging market, and introduces an approach that combines the expert real-time scoring and the entropy weight. In this way, the proposed model can achieve a reasonable balance between the information value of attributes and the subjective experiences, and improve the robustness and discrimination ability in practical applications.
Key words:  electric vehicles  charging service  value-chain  commercial operation modes  comprehensive evaluation index system  matter element extension model4

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