| 引用本文: | 陈新晨,潘学萍,马倩,梁伟,曹阳.基于系统动力学理论的输配电价绩效管制建模与分析[J].电力自动化设备,2022,42(9): |
| CHEN Xinchen,PAN Xueping,MA Qian,LIANG Wei,CAO Yang.Modeling and analysis of transmission and distribution price performance-based regulation based on system dynamics theory[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2022,42(9): |
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| 摘要: |
| 现有关于输配电价管制模式的研究大多基于静态分析方法，无法适应新电改环境下电网企业投资-运营-收入的复杂时序及因果关系，为此，提出一种基于系统动力学理论的输配电价绩效管制建模与分析方法。在现有输配电价成本管制的基础上，将生态建设投资、服务质量以及提供就业岗位数等指标引入电网企业投资运营绩效管制指标体系，并构建输配电价绩效管制的动力学模型。以某省级电网企业为例，仿真分析其在基期后10 a间的投资运营情况，采用层次分析法确定指标权重，计算电网企业投资运营综合绩效的变化趋势，结果表明，绩效管制模式下电网企业主动修正投资运营策略，在保证自身良性运营的同时达到了监管部门的期望，验证了绩效管制模式的优越性。 |
| 关键词: 绩效管制 输配电价改革 投资运营 综合绩效 系统动力学 |
| DOI：10.16081/j.epae.202202001 |
| 分类号:TM73 |
| 基金项目:国家重点研发计划中挪合作项目(2019YFE0105200) |
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| Modeling and analysis of transmission and distribution price performance-based regulation based on system dynamics theory |
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CHEN Xinchen1, PAN Xueping1, MA Qian2, LIANG Wei1, CAO Yang1
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1.College of Energy and Electrical Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Nanjing 210024, China
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| Abstract: |
| The current researches about transmission and distribution price regulation modes are mostly based on static analysis method, which cannot adapt to complex timing sequence and causal relationship among investment-operation-revenue of power grid enterprise under electricity reform environment. Therefore, a mode-ling and analysis method of transmission and distribution price performance-based regulation is proposed based on system dynamics theory. On the basis of current transmission and distribution price cost control, the indexes of ecological construction investment, service quality and providing job number are introduced into the performance-based regulation index system for investment and operation of power grid enterprise, and a dynamic model of transmission and distribution price performance-based regulation is built. A provincial power grid enterprise is taken as an example, the investment and operation condition of the power grid enterprise during 10 years after the base period is simulated and analyzed, the analytic hierarchy process is adopted to determine the index weights, the comprehensive performance variation trend of investment and operation of the power grid enterprise is calculated. The results show that the power grid enterprise actively modifies the investment and operation strategy under performance-based regulation mode, meets the expectation of regulatory authority while ensures its good operation, which verifies the advantages of performance-based regulation mode. |
| Key words: performance-based regulation transmission and distribution price reform investment and operation comprehensive performance system dynamics |
