引用本文:曾 鸣,薛 松,魏 阳,李凌云.低碳智慧岛能源体系设计及经济可靠性评价模型[J].电力自动化设备,2012,32(12):
ZENG Ming,XUE Song,WEI Yang,LI Lingyun.Energy system for low-carbon-smart islands and economy-reliability assessment model[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2012,32(12):
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低碳智慧岛能源体系设计及经济可靠性评价模型
曾 鸣, 薛 松, 魏 阳, 李凌云
华北电力大学 能源与电力经济研究咨询中心,北京 102206
摘要:
根据我国岛屿用能特点,构建小型岛屿、中型岛屿和大型岛屿这3类低碳智慧岛分布式能源体系。建立包含缺负荷期望(LOLE)、电力缺口(EENS)、能源可靠性指数(EIR)等可靠性评价指标的以风光互补发电系统为主的低碳智慧岛可靠性评估模型,并通过发电成本和碳减排成本来评估低碳智慧岛的经济性。对平潭岛的仿真结果表明,与接入风光互补发电系统前相比,接入后系统可靠性提高了18.38 %,每年可节省成本2 325万元,验证了所建能源体系的合理性和可靠性。
关键词:  低碳智慧岛  分布式发电  风光互补发电  可靠性  评价  模型
DOI:
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271082);国家软科学研究计划(2012GXS4B064);国家电网公司科技项目(KJ-2010-26)
Energy system for low-carbon-smart islands and economy-reliability assessment model
ZENG Ming, XUE Song, WEI Yang, LI Lingyun
Research Center of Energy and Electricity Economics,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China
Abstract:
According to the characteristics of island energy consumption in China,three kinds of distributed energy system are proposed for big,middle and small low-carbon-smart islands respectively. A reliability assessment model including the indexes of LOLE(Loss Of Load Expectation),EENS(Expected Energy Not Supplied),EIR(Energy Index of Reliability) is built for the low-carbon-smart island with wind-solar hybrid power system and the indexes of power generation cost and carbon abatement cost are used to evaluate its economy. Simulative results for Pingtan Island show that,after the connection of wind-solar hybrid power system,the system reliability is increased by 18.38% and the annual cost saving is 23.25 million yuan,verifying the rationality and reliability of the proposed energy system.
Key words:  low-carbon-smart island  distributed power generation  wind-solar hybrid power system  reliability  evaluation  models

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