| 引用本文: | 吴晨曦,文福拴,陈 勇,辛建波.含有风电与光伏发电以及电动汽车的电力系统概率潮流[J].电力自动化设备,2013,33(10): |
| WU Chenxi1,WEN Fushuan,CHEN Yong,XIN Jianbo.Probabilistic load flow of power system with WFs，PVs and PEVs[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2013,33(10): |
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| 摘要: |
| 建立含有风电、光伏发电和可入网电动汽车（PEV）的电力系统概率潮流模型。基于历史气象数据对不同季节和不同天气状况下的风光数据进行模拟，并计及风电、光伏发电、PEV充／放电及负荷的不确定性，在此基础上，对不同季节中每日不同时段的电力系统采用三点估计法（3PEM）进行概率潮流计算，进而计算潮流结果的统计特性。某140节点配电系统的仿真结果验证了所提模型和方法的准确性。 |
| 关键词: 风电 光伏发电 可入网电动汽车 概率潮流 点估计法 电力系统 电动汽车 |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目:国家科技支撑计划资助项目（2011BAA07B02）；浙江省教育厅2012年高校科研项目（Y201223118）；江西省电力公司科技项目 |
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| Probabilistic load flow of power system with WFs，PVs and PEVs |
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WU Chenxi11,2, WEN Fushuan1, CHEN Yong3, XIN Jianbo4
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1.College of Electrical Engineering，Zhejiang University，Hangzhou 310027，China;2.College of Automation，Hangzhou Dianzi University，Hangzhou 310018，China;3.Yuhang Power Supply Bureau of Hangzhou，Hangzhou 311100，China;4.Jiangxi Electric Power Research Institute，Nanchang 330006，China
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| Abstract: |
| A probabilistic load flow model is developed for the power system containing WFs（Wind Farms），PVs（PhotoVoltaic Generations） and PEVs（Plug-in Electric Vehicles）. The wind speeds and solar radiations are simulated based on the historical meteorological data for different season and weather conditions and the uncertainties of WF，PV，PEV and load are considered，based on which，3PEM（3-Point Estimation Method） is adopted to calculate the probabilistic load flow of power system for different daily periods and different seasons. Its statistical characteristics are thus obtained. The simulative results of a 140-bus distribution system show the correctness of the proposed model and method. |
| Key words: wind power photovoltaic generation plug-in electric vehicle probabilistic load flow point estimation method electric power systems electric vehicles |
