| 引用本文: | 薛金花,叶季蕾,陶琼,王德顺.基于多场景的商业园区源储荷系统运营模式及投资决策研究[J].电力自动化设备,2019,39(2): |
| XUE Jinhua,YE Jilei,TAO Qiong,WANG Deshun.Multi-scenarios based operation mode and investment decision of source-storage-load system in business park[J].Electric Power Automation Equipment,2019,39(2): |
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| 基于多场景的商业园区源储荷系统运营模式及投资决策研究 |
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薛金花1,2, 叶季蕾1,2,3, 陶琼1,2, 王德顺1,2
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1.中国电力科学研究院有限公司，江苏南京210003;2.中国电力科学研究院有限公司江苏省储能变流及应用工程技术研究中心，江苏南京210003;3.中国电力科学研究院有限公司新能源与储能运行控制国家重点实验室，北京100192
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| 摘要: |
| 含源-储-荷系统的智能化商业园区是我国能源互联网建设的重要方向之一。开展商业园区源-储-荷系统的运营模式及投资决策研究。从投资和运营2个角度分析不同利益主体的权责关系，提出源-储-荷系统的商业运营模式；在此基础上，基于分布式能源全寿命周期的经济性理论，分别建立源-荷、储-荷、源-储-荷3种应用场景下能源投资商和园区开发商的盈利模型；结合商业园区的电价政策，通过敏感性分析给出分布式光伏/储能投资商提升投资回报水平的建议。仿真结果表明，分布式光伏投资商在商业园区具有较高的投资回报率，而储能投资商盈亏平衡的实现有待于储能成本的下降，其降幅要求在源-储-荷应用场景下较为苛刻。 |
| 关键词: 多场景 源-储-荷系统 商业园区 运营模式 投资决策 全寿命周期 |
| DOI：10.16081/j.issn.1006-6047.2019.02.012 |
| 分类号:TM761 |
| 基金项目:国家电网公司总部科技项目(商业园区源-储-荷协同运行关键技术研究与示范) |
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| Multi-scenarios based operation mode and investment decision of source-storage-load system in business park |
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XUE Jinhua1,2, YE Jilei1,2,3, TAO Qiong1,2, WANG Deshun1,2
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1.China Electric Power Research Institute, Nanjing 210003, China;2.Jiangsu Engineering Technology Research Center for Energy Storage Conversion and Application, China Electric Power Research Institute, Nanjing 210003, China;3.State Key Laboratory of Operation and Control of Renewable Energy & Storage Systems, China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100192, China
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| Abstract: |
| The development of intelligent business park containing source-storage-load system is one of the important directions for China's energy internet construction. So, the operation mode and investment decision of source-storage-load system in the business park are studied. The authority-responsibility relationships among different stakeholders are analyzed from two aspects of investment and operation, and the commercial operation mode of the source-storage-load system is proposed. Then, based on the life cycle theory of distributed energy, the revenue models of energy investors and park developers are established under three application scenarios of source-load, storage-load and source-energy-load respectively. Considering the electricity price policy of the business park, recommendations are put forward for distributed photovoltaic and energy storage investors to improve the return of investment based on the sensitivity analysis. Simulative results show that the distributed photovoltaic investors have a higher return on investment, while the realization of break-even of the energy storage investors depends on the cost reduction of energy storage, and the cost drop requirement is very strict in the source-energy-load application scenario. |
| Key words: multi-scenarios source-storage-load system business park operation mode investment decision life cycle |
